Albany, N.Y. (WBEN) - With just two days to go before the Buffalo Democratic Mayoral primary election, longtime incumbant Mayor Byron Brown holds a commanding lead in the latest polling released Sunday by Siena College.

Brown, with 49 percent support (down slightly from 51 percent in August), leads Mark Schroeder (26 percent,

up slightly from 24 percent in August) and Betty Jean Grant (11 percent, down slightly from 13 percent), with

14 percent (up slightly from 12 percent) undecided.

Brown’s 70-24 percent favorability rating is down a little from 74-22 percent in August. Schroeder has a

56-12 percent favorability rating, compared to 52-10 percent in August. Grant’s favorability rating fell over

the last month to 43-27 percent (down from 52-17 percent).

“While the campaign has intensified over the last four weeks, Mayor Brown has maintained his wide lead over Schroeder and Grant. Brown continues to lead by at least 20 points with men, women, voters with and without a college degree, and voters from union and non-union households,” Siena's Steven Greenberg said. “The race has tightened with white voters to nearly dead even after Brown led Schroeder by 17 points in August. However, Brown slightly extended his lead over Grant among black voters to 32 points.

“While Brown polls well with black and white voters, Grant only garners the support of five percent of white voters and Schroeder has the same five-percent support with black voters,” Greenberg said.

“Nearly half of both Schroeder and Grant voters say the most important issue in determining who they will

vote for is treating all neighborhoods fairly. That’s the second most important issue for Brown voters, who

cite economic development as the most important issue in their decision to support Brown,” Greenberg said.

“As we approach primary day, voters appear locked in with their candidate. Eighty-four percent of Grant voters, 90 percent of Brown voters and 93 percent of Schroeder voters say they are absolutely or fairly certain that they will not change their minds before Tuesday,” Greenberg said.

“Brown continues to have a very strong favorability rating, down only slightly from August. Schroeder and Grant remain unknown to about one in three voters. And while Schroeder’s favorability rating has improved a bit since August, Grant has seen her favorability rating fall by net 19 points,” Greenberg said. “Brown is viewed favorably by at least 62 percent of voters regardless of gender, age, religion, ideology, race, income, or education.”

Likely Democratic primary voters say New York State is on the right track by a 63-16 percent margin, little change from 67-19 percent in August. They say Buffalo is on the right track by a 73-18 percent margin, down a little from 78-15 percent last month.

“By a huge margin, Brown voters say Buffalo is on the right track, as do Schroeder voters. Grant voters are more evenly divided on the direction of the City. Supporters of all three candidates think the State is headed on the right track by large margins,” Greenberg said. “The three candidates’ voters also strongly agree on viewing Governor Andrew Cuomo favorably and President Donald Trump unfavorably.

“After 12 years as mayor, Brown continues to be well liked by Buffalo Democrats. Those Democrats also are overwhelmingly satisfied with the direction Buffalo is headed in. Those two factors – combined with a better than 20-point lead heading into the final days and little movement by the electorate over the last month – position Brown to be in a very strong position to win the nomination for a fourth term as Buffalo mayor,” Greenberg said.