YouGov claims Clinton won debate. Their data says otherwise.

YouGov issued a snapshot result of the second presidential debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, and declared that a plurality of undecided voters thought that the Democratic nominee won the night.

According to their poll released on late Sunday night, Clinton had a slim victory over Trump among undecided voters 44 to 41 percent.

Clinton narrowly won undecideds watching the debate 44% to 41% https://t.co/mZtA62WZFn — YouGovUS (@YouGovUS) October 10, 2016

Most undecided voters in this election are Independents. An overwhelming majority of Republicans and Democrats have fallen into their partisan camps with a small sliver either breaking away to vote third party or for the opposing major party’s nominee.

However, according to the YouGov poll, nearly 45 percent of their sample size were Democrats while just 29 percent were Independent and 26 percent were Republican.

@williamjordann why are Republicans the smallest group of voters polled? pic.twitter.com/BcKJTA1eDf — Ryan James Girdusky (@RyJamesG) October 10, 2016

Those numbers don’t reflect reality even in the slightest. Independent voters are the undecideds, and they were overwhelmingly supportive of Trump.

Independent voters preferred the Republican nominee on the issues of Syria by 19 points (54 to 35 percent), Obamacare by 21 points (58 to 37 percent), unifying the country by 13 points (48 to 35 percent), and selecting Supreme Court judges again by 21 points (57 to 36 percent).

@tea_tard @williamjordann GOP & Indie voters said Trump won on almost all major issues pic.twitter.com/IRzds7iT5l — Ryan James Girdusky (@RyJamesG) October 10, 2016

Trump also scored big with Independents’ voting intentions. A majority of voters not registered with either political party said they plan on casting their ballot for the Republican nominee in November.

Independents favored Trump to Clinton by a margin of 24 points (53 to 29 percent).

YouGov poll says that Trump wins indie voters 53% to 29% pic.twitter.com/Eyov5PDLL8 — Ryan James Girdusky (@RyJamesG) October 10, 2016

Pollsters often use sample sizes to create outcomes they like, instead of the ones that reflect the greater public. Hopefully by 2017, we can make polls great again.

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