Study: PPP Most Accurate Pollster Of 2012, Rasmussen And Gallup Among Least Accurate

Doug Mataconis · · 17 comments

Dr. Costas Panagopoulos, Director of Fordham University’s Department Of Political Science has released the result of his study of poll accuracy in the 2012 election, and the results are as follows:

1. PPP (D)* 1. Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP* 3. YouGov* 4. Ipsos/Reuters* 5. Purple Strategies 6. NBC/WSJ 6. CBS/NYT 6. YouGov/Economist 9. UPI/CVOTER 10. IBD/TIPP 11. Angus-Reid* 12. ABC/WP* 13. Pew Research* 13. Hartford Courant/UConn* 15. CNN/ORC 15. Monmouth/SurveyUSA 15. Politico/GWU/Battleground 15. FOX News 15. Washington Times/JZ Analytics 15. Newsmax/JZ Analytics 15. American Research Group 15. Gravis Marketing 23. Democracy Corps (D)* 24. Rasmussen 24. Gallup 26. NPR 27. National Journal* 28. AP/GfK

Costas based his rankings on pre-election poll numbers compared with the final results of the election. Nate Silver will likely be doing his own study in the near future and it will be interesting to compare his findings with this list. Nonetheless, I find it interesting to see where the various pollsters have turned up and wonder what the right will think about the fact that Rasmussen was among the most inaccurate pollsters of the 2012 cycle.