After an exciting weekend, the field has split into three spots with Barroi, Volamel and myself nearly tied up at the top of the standings, Sideshow and Yiska remaining very competitive moving into the season, and then SmeG, YungBoop, Moirai and Coin Flip at the back of the pack.

You can find our previous prediction articles below:

Week 2 Predictions

Week 3 Predictions

Week 4 Predictions

As a quick reminder from last week’s article, the significance is the chance of being at your rank or lower in predictions if your past predictions were correct. This is a helpful measure of whether there is evidence that differences in rank have been truly skill, or are still within the reasonable range of variability.

Last week, Volamel had a monster week at 20% weight breaking our previous record of 16% weight for a single week. In every match last week when Volamel was 5% or more off the aggregate prediction, he picked the correct direction from the crowd.

I, myself, bet harder on Faze over Rogue at 75% over the aggregate prediction of 62% which closed the gap between myself and the top of the pack, despite falling to third due to Volamel’s rock star performance.

While rankings are what they are, there are two analysts who have been gaining steam and in a position to take the top of the standings. Sideshow and I have both had stronger performances week after week and both are in prime position to gain position if the trend continues.

Week 5 Predictions

To put it shortly, this week has been by far the most uncomfortable to predict. Many of these matchups made me physically uncomfortable to consider. I can tell by the group predictions that I am not alone, with 5 of the 10 matches having aggregate predictions less than 60% to 40% and the fewest matches with a significant favorite to this point.

Because Barroi has chosen to bet hard on FNRGFE at 60% vs Envision eSports where our aggregate predictions this week are 60% for Envision eSports makes it the most consequential match of the week. If the upset happens as Barroi foretells, then he will likely put himself far ahead and in a prime position to take the entire competition. If he is wrong, then the standings as we have known them will be thrown in to chaos.

The second match of special interest is eUnited vs Bazooka Puppiez which of our top 5 performing analysts, 2 are predicting Bazooka Puppiez to carry the game and 3 are predicting eUnited to win. Likely, Yiska’s hopes of rejoining the top of the standings this coming week lies on the outcome of this game, where he bet against the crowd strongly 75% for eUnited.