The SB Nation College Football Recruiting Podcast returns with a new episode. You can subscribe to the show on Apple Podcasts and Stitcher.

As always, the show opens with a discussion of the biggest commitments and decommitments of the previous week or so.

Listen in the embedded player below, or click here.

Then we get into the question of who will be the next head coach to win his first national title. At current, only four active coaches have done so: Nick Saban, Urban Meyer, Jimbo Fisher, and Dabo Swinney.

Richard Johnson and I debate the odds of 16 coaches breaking through, roughly in the following order, spending a few minutes on each.

James Franklin, Penn State

Mike Gundy, Oklahoma State

Jim Harbaugh, Michigan

Clay Helton, USC

Tom Herman, Texas

Kirby Smart, Georgia

Gus Malzahn, Auburn

Jim McElwain, Florida

Brian Kelly, Notre Dame

Ed Orgeron, LSU

Chris Petersen, Washington

Mark Richt, Miami

Lincoln Riley, Oklahoma

Mike Riley, Nebraska

David Shaw, Stanford

Willie Taggart, Oregon

At the conclusion of the show, we give our top five selections.