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Photo: RMLS Image 1 of / 23 Caption Close Image 2 of 23 Inside 42nd Ave. Inside 42nd Ave. Photo: RMLS Image 3 of 23 42nd Ave. kitchen and clutter 42nd Ave. kitchen and clutter Photo: RMLS Image 4 of 23 Stairwell/living room in 42nd Ave. Stairwell/living room in 42nd Ave. Photo: RMLS Image 5 of 23 Image 6 of 23 One of two bedrooms One of two bedrooms Photo: RMLS Image 7 of 23 The second bedroom The second bedroom Photo: RMLS Image 8 of 23 Fairfax is poised to be Oakland's second hottest neighborhood. This home at 2437 Monticello Ave lists at $469,990. Fairfax is poised to be Oakland's second hottest neighborhood. This home at 2437 Monticello Ave lists at $469,990. Photo: RMLS Image 9 of 23 Inside Fairfax home Inside Fairfax home Photo: RMLS Image 10 of 23 Image 11 of 23 Kitchen view in Fairfax Kitchen view in Fairfax Photo: RMLS Image 12 of 23 Yard at Fairfax home Yard at Fairfax home Photo: RMLS Image 13 of 23 Arroyo Viejo, third hottest 'hood for 2016, offers this home at 7438 Krause. It's 828 square feet, listed at $305K. Arroyo Viejo, third hottest 'hood for 2016, offers this home at 7438 Krause. It's 828 square feet, listed at $305K. Photo: RMLS Image 14 of 23 Arroyo home Arroyo home Photo: RMLS Image 15 of 23 Image 16 of 23 Inside Arroyo home Inside Arroyo home Photo: RMLS Image 17 of 23 Arroyo kitchen Arroyo kitchen Photo: RMLS Image 18 of 23 Arroyo yard Arroyo yard Photo: RMLS Image 19 of 23 Old City, the fourth hottest Bay Area neighborhood, also in Oakland, offers this two-bedroom condo at 555 10th St. for $589,000. Old City, the fourth hottest Bay Area neighborhood, also in Oakland, offers this two-bedroom condo at 555 10th St. for $589,000. Photo: RMLS Image 20 of 23 Image 21 of 23 And finally, Cox, projected to be the fifth hottest market in the Bay. There isn't much real estate listed there now, but if Zillow is correct, this duplex at 9415 Holly St. is a good investment. And finally, Cox, projected to be the fifth hottest market in the Bay. There isn't much real estate listed there now, but if Zillow is correct, this duplex at 9415 Holly St. is a good investment. Photo: RMLS Image 22 of 23 Two two-bedroom units in this duplex, listed at $375,00. Two two-bedroom units in this duplex, listed at $375,00. Photo: RMLS Image 23 of 23 Oakland poised to be the Bay Area's hottest market in 2016 1 / 23 Back to Gallery

Sorry Mission District and SoMa: Your days as “hot neighborhood” have come and gone.

In fact, the next “hot markets” in the Bay Area aren’t even in San Francisco, according to the Zillow Home Value Index.

Zillow announced its predictions for the hottest neighborhoods in the San Francisco metro area, which includes nine counties: Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, Napa, San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Solano, and Sonoma. Alameda, in which Oakland falls, will be the big winner this year, if Zillow’s forecast is correct.

The San Francisco metro ranked 22 out of the top most populous 200 metros in the country. All five of the projected hottest neighborhoods for 2016 are in Oakland.

Hottest San Francisco Metro Neighborhoods for 2016

Jefferson – 8.8 percent forecasted home value growth Fairfax – 8.4 percent forecasted home value growth Arroyo Viejo – 8.1 percent forecasted home value growth Old City, Oak Knoll-Golf Links, & Havenscourt – all with 7.4 percent forecasted home value growth Cox – 7.2 percent forecasted home value growth

Listings heating up

The neighborhood buzz has already, apparently, started, though we’re only at the start of the year. In the gallery above, a modest Jefferson area home lists for $529,900 and is not only unstaged, it’s not even cleaned up–a decision that would seem to reflect confidence in the ability to sell the house fairly easily. The Fairfax home, listing at $469,990, sold as a bank-owned REO for $333,581 in December 2014.

Zillow’s methodology

The list of hottest neighborhoods is based on the Zillow Home Value Forecast, which predicts changes in median home values in particular geographical region over 12 months. Zillow tells us that the methodology “is a little different for hot neighborhoods (forecasted home value growth) and for hottest metros.” The latter also take into account “income, unemployment rate, and other economic factors.”

2016, the year Oakland officially becomes unaffordable?

Oakland has already made news for rent increases as high as 20 percent year-over-year, officially the hottest rental market in the nation. That home prices in previously inexpensive areas should also shoot up is no surprise. The trend toward a uniformly expensive Oakland has serious implications, however, and not all of them positive–some perhaps even rather dire.

Readers: Your thoughts?

Anna Marie Erwert writes from both the renter and new buyer perspective, having (finally) achieved both statuses. She focuses on national real estate trends, specializing in the San Francisco Bay Area and Pacific Northwest. Follow Anna on Twitter: @AnnaMarieErwert