In the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations are expected to carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 8 June 2017, to the present day. Under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, the next general election is scheduled to be held no later than 5 May 2022.[1]

Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain, excluding Northern Ireland as its 18 seats are contested by a different set of political parties.

Graphical summaries [ edit ]

Conservative Labour Liberal Democrats SNP UKIP Greens The graph shows polls conducted for the next UK general election, including polls released by 12 February 2019. The trendline is based on the average of the last 15 polls.

National poll results [ edit ]

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order.[2] Most pollsters only include responses from within Great Britain, excluding Northern Ireland; however, some, such as Survation, do include Northern Ireland. The table below indicates whether a poll is Great Britain (GB)-only or United Kingdom (UK)-wide. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold.

The parties with the largest numbers of votes in the 2017 general election are listed here. Other parties are included in the "Other" column.

2019 [ edit ]

For the events during the year, see 2019 in the United Kingdom

2018 [ edit ]

For the events during the year, see 2018 in the United Kingdom

2017 [ edit ]

For the events during the year, see 2017 in the United Kingdom

Polls including The Independent Group [ edit ]

After the formation of The Independent Group, some pollsters conducted polls of voting intention were the Independent Group to form a party and stand candidates.

YouGov model [ edit ]

During the 2017 election campaign, YouGov created a Multi-level Regression and Post-stratification (MRP) model based on poll data. As set out by YouGov, the model "works by modelling every constituency and key voter types in Britain based on analysis of key demographics as well as past voting behaviour".[11]

Sub-national polling [ edit ]

Scotland [ edit ]

Wales [ edit ]

Northern Ireland [ edit ]

Regional polling in England [ edit ]

London [ edit ]

Polls of individual constituencies [ edit ]

Leadership approval polling [ edit ]

Preferred Prime Minister polling [ edit ]

Some opinion pollsters ask voters which party leader they think would make the best Prime Minister – Theresa May (Conservative Party) or Jeremy Corbyn (Labour Party). The questions differ slightly from pollster to pollster:

Opinium : "Which, if any, of the following people do you think would be the best Prime Minister?"

: BMG Research : "If you had to choose between the two, who would you prefer to see as the next Prime Minister?"

: YouGov / Survation : "Which of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister?"

: Ipsos MORI : "Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, the Conservatives’ Theresa May, or Labour’s Jeremy Corbyn?"

: ICM: "Putting aside which party you support, and only thinking about your impressions of them as leaders, which one of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister for Britain?"

Theresa May vs Jeremy Corbyn [ edit ]

2019 [ edit ]

2018 [ edit ]

2017 [ edit ]

Previous polling [ edit ]

The following graphs show UK general election polling over a period of the previous 25 years and previous 7 years.

Conservative Labour UKIP Liberal Democrats Green Long-term opinion polling over the span of 25 years. This runs from the 1992 general election to the 2017 general election. The grey vertical lines mark the general elections of 1997, 2001, 2005, 2010 and 2015.

Conservative Labour UKIP Liberal Democrats Green All UK opinion polling since the 2010 general election. This graph covers both 2015 and 2017 general elections, but not opinion polls that have followed the 2017 general election.

See also [ edit ]

Notes [ edit ]