An analysis of data compiled and released by The New York Times surmises that, despite the hopes and claims of groups like Battleground Texas, Texas is unlikely to become a Democratic stronghold, or even a consistent battleground, anytime soon.

The reason? Unlike other southern states that have seen swings in voting patterns -- like North Carolina or Virginia -- Texas' population growth stems largely from a high in-state birth rate and migration from outside of the United States, rather than regional migration within the United States.

Those factors mean the state has a low non-southern born population (14 percent of Texas residents) and a high foreign-born population (17 percent). Southern-born voters are far more likely to vote Republican. Immigrant residents are far less likely to be able to vote at all. In Virginia, by comparison, 27 percent of the population is non-southern born.