January 18, 2017 - Clinton Tops de Blasio In New York City Mayor's Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Mayor Leads Other Little-Known Possible Challengers

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In a very hypothetical race for New York City Mayor, Hillary Clinton, running as an independent, tops incumbent Bill de Blasio, running as a Democrat, 49 - 30 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.





Mayor de Blasio gets a divided 45 - 46 percent job approval rating, little changed from a 47 - 47 percent approval rating in a November 16 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. The mayor does not deserve reelection, New York City voters say 49 - 42 percent.





While he tops possible challengers in a hypothetical Democratic primary, de Blasio falls short of the 40 percent needed to avoid a primary run-off. And former City Council Speaker Christine Quinn or City Comptroller Scott Stringer would be serious challengers running as independent candidates in a general election face-off.





Results for a hypothetical Democratic primary show:

De Blasio - 35 percent;

Former City Council Speaker Christine Quinn - 11 percent;

City Comptroller Scott Stringer - 9 percent;

U.S. Rep. Hakeem Jeffries - 8 percent;

Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz Jr. - 5 percent;

State Sen. Tony Avella - 1 percent.

"New Yorkers aren't in love with Mayor Bill de Blasio, but they seem to like him better than other possible choices - except Hillary Clinton, who probably is an impossible choice," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.





"None of the possible contenders has made any real noise or spent any money, so this race still could get interesting."





In the Clinton - de Blasio matchup, Clinton leads 61 - 29 percent among Democrats and 45 - 31 percent among independent voters. Republicans back de Blasio 28 - 18 percent. She leads among men and women and black, white and Hispanic voters. She also leads in every borough except Staten Island, which goes to de Blasio 28 - 22 percent.





De Blasio, running as a Democrat, has a 44 - 34 percent lead in a hypothetical race against Christine Quinn, running as an independent. De Blasio wins similar matchups against other possible challengers running as independent candidates:

43 - 32 percent over Stringer;

43 - 28 percent over Diaz;

41 - 27 percent over Jeffries;

48 - 23 percent over Avella.

New York City voters give de Blasio a divided 47 - 45 percent favorability rating. Quinn gets a 37 - 23 percent favorability, with 39 percent who don't know enough about her to form an opinion. The other contenders are largely unknown as the percentage of voters who don't know enough about them to form an opinion ranges from 58 percent to 84 percent.





Gov. Andrew Cuomo has the highest job approval rating of any top leader, as New York City voters approve 68 - 26 percent of the job he is doing as governor. Other job approval ratings are:

52 - 17 percent for Stringer;

44 - 17 percent for Public Advocate Letitia James;

36 - 19 percent for City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito;

35 - 30 percent for Schools Chancellor Carmen Farina.

Mayor de Blasio is honest and trustworthy, voters say 50 - 37 percent and he understands their problems, voters say 53 - 42 percent. But he does not have strong leadership qualities, voters say 51 - 45 percent.





From January 11 - 17, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,138 New York City voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. The survey includes 738 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.





The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado, North Carolina, Georgia and the nation as a public service and for research.





Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll





Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.





1. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio, Scott Stringer, Ruben Diaz Jr., Christine Quinn, Hakeem Jeffries, and Tony Avella, for whom would you vote?

REGISTERED DEMOCRATS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp de Blasio 34% 37% 33% 33% 35% 33% 24% 44% 35% Stringer 10 10 8 11 12 8 16 5 7 Diaz Jr. 5 4 7 5 6 5 1 7 15 Quinn 12 11 14 12 13 11 18 6 8 Jeffries 7 5 13 7 7 8 5 12 10 Avella 1 - - 3 2 1 2 1 3 DK/NA 31 33 25 29 26 34 36 26 21

2. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, and Scott Stringer running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp de Blasio 44% 14% 57% 33% 43% 45% 30% 67% 52% Stringer 32 49 26 37 35 29 43 18 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 6 1 3 3 1 2 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 13 2 6 5 4 6 1 4 DK/NA 18 18 15 22 13 21 19 13 10 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ de Blasio 50% 42% 48% 45% 21% 48% 47% 41% 40% Stringer 28 29 32 33 49 24 31 36 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 4 2 1 1 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 4 4 12 3 4 6 5 DK/NA 18 24 14 14 15 24 16 14 13

3. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, and Christine Quinn running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp de Blasio 44% 16% 55% 36% 45% 43% 31% 64% 57% Quinn 34 37 32 40 34 34 41 26 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 9 - 2 4 1 4 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 18 2 8 8 5 8 2 4 DK/NA 14 19 11 14 9 18 16 8 7 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ de Blasio 48% 44% 48% 43% 22% 45% 45% 44% 40% Quinn 35 29 37 34 41 33 37 34 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 2 3 4 1 1 4 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 3 7 20 5 5 6 9 DK/NA 11 20 10 12 12 16 12 12 10

4. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, and Ruben Diaz Jr. running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp de Blasio 44% 9% 58% 34% 44% 44% 37% 65% 37% Diaz Jr. 28 48 23 26 28 27 29 18 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 4 - 2 2 1 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 15 2 10 8 4 8 1 3 DK/NA 21 24 16 28 17 23 24 15 12 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ de Blasio 36% 46% 49% 47% 24% 41% 43% 46% 48% Diaz Jr. 46 22 24 24 36 30 33 26 23 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 2 3 1 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 5 4 7 17 4 4 8 10 DK/NA 14 25 21 19 20 25 19 18 16

5. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, and Hakeem Jeffries running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp de Blasio 43% 16% 56% 30% 42% 43% 37% 56% 48% Jeffries 26 35 22 31 29 23 25 26 30 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 7 1 3 3 1 4 - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 7 19 2 9 8 5 9 1 4 DK/NA 23 23 19 28 17 26 26 16 16 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ de Blasio 49% 36% 51% 44% 27% 38% 44% 45% 47% Jeffries 24 30 20 26 32 31 28 25 22 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 2 4 1 1 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 6 7 17 4 7 8 9 DK/NA 20 28 20 20 20 27 20 20 18

6. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, and Tony Avella running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp de Blasio 49% 15% 64% 37% 50% 48% 39% 71% 52% Avella 23 49 15 26 25 21 31 10 26 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 5 1 3 4 1 3 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 12 2 6 6 4 4 2 4 DK/NA 21 18 18 27 16 25 22 16 16 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ de Blasio 51% 48% 57% 46% 29% 45% 52% 49% 49% Avella 21 22 14 30 34 26 22 20 26 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 2 3 - 2 3 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 5 4 14 3 5 8 4 DK/NA 22 24 21 18 19 26 19 19 17

7. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, and Hillary Clinton running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp de Blasio 29% 27% 30% 29% 35% 25% 25% 37% 32% Clinton 49 19 61 42 42 54 47 54 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 16 - 3 5 3 4 1 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 10 26 2 17 11 9 14 3 7 DK/NA 9 12 7 9 7 10 10 5 8 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ de Blasio 33% 33% 23% 28% 28% 32% 30% 29% 28% Clinton 49 44 62 48 25 50 51 50 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 4 3 5 6 3 3 3 5 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 10 7 5 11 33 7 9 11 13 DK/NA 7 11 7 9 8 9 7 7 9

8. Is your opinion of Bill de Blasio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 48% 13% 62% 38% 46% 49% 32% 76% 55% Unfavorable 44 75 32 53 45 43 60 20 35 Hvn't hrd enough 5 4 3 8 6 4 3 3 7 REFUSED 3 8 2 2 2 4 4 1 2 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 54% 49% 51% 45% 30% 45% 51% 49% 45% Unfavorable 41 44 39 43 68 45 42 44 47 Hvn't hrd enough 4 3 5 9 - 7 4 3 5 REFUSED 1 4 4 3 2 3 3 4 3

9. Is your opinion of Scott Stringer favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 32% 28% 34% 32% 37% 28% 42% 27% 25% Unfavorable 10 11 10 10 12 9 8 12 10 Hvn't hrd enough 57 61 55 57 50 63 49 61 64 REFUSED 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 23% 31% 38% 31% 34% 17% 29% 40% 42% Unfavorable 6 11 12 10 11 11 13 10 8 Hvn't hrd enough 71 56 49 58 54 71 58 49 49 REFUSED - 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 1

10. Is your opinion of Christine Quinn favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 38% 20% 46% 39% 37% 40% 46% 40% 30% Unfavorable 21 34 17 21 28 16 23 24 14 Hvn't hrd enough 39 45 37 38 35 43 30 35 55 REFUSED 1 1 - 2 1 2 1 1 1 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 24% 40% 46% 40% 32% 27% 41% 44% 47% Unfavorable 13 23 21 23 26 12 19 28 25 Hvn't hrd enough 62 35 32 36 40 62 38 27 28 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 2 - 1 1 1

11. Is your opinion of Ruben Diaz Jr. favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 21% 17% 26% 15% 24% 19% 12% 31% 36% Unfavorable 11 16 9 10 14 9 9 14 13 Hvn't hrd enough 67 67 64 75 62 70 79 53 50 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 55% 18% 14% 15% 9% 20% 26% 23% 17% Unfavorable 15 8 14 10 8 9 13 11 12 Hvn't hrd enough 29 72 71 74 81 70 61 65 71 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 2 - 1 1 1

12. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 64% 15% 84% 51% 59% 67% 57% 80% 65% Unfavorable 31 80 13 44 35 29 40 17 29 Hvn't hrd enough 3 4 2 4 3 3 2 1 3 REFUSED 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 3 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 67% 61% 79% 59% 35% 59% 67% 67% 65% Unfavorable 29 34 19 33 65 38 29 29 31 Hvn't hrd enough 1 3 2 6 - 3 3 2 1 REFUSED 3 2 1 3 - - 1 3 3

13. Is your opinion of Hakeem Jeffries favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 19% 12% 22% 17% 21% 17% 11% 35% 15% Unfavorable 7 8 7 5 8 7 7 7 10 Hvn't hrd enough 73 80 70 77 71 74 82 56 75 REFUSED 1 - 1 2 - 2 - 1 1 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 17% 28% 13% 18% 5% 19% 18% 23% 15% Unfavorable 6 10 6 5 10 6 8 8 8 Hvn't hrd enough 77 60 80 76 85 75 73 68 75 REFUSED - 2 2 1 - 1 1 1 1

14. Is your opinion of Tony Avella favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 10% 18% 7% 13% 12% 8% 12% 7% 8% Unfavorable 5 11 4 3 6 4 4 7 8 Hvn't hrd enough 84 71 88 83 81 86 84 84 83 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 11% 6% 2% 23% 4% 8% 9% 8% 14% Unfavorable 4 7 6 3 4 2 7 6 5 Hvn't hrd enough 85 86 91 72 91 88 83 85 81 REFUSED - 2 - 2 2 1 1 1 -

15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Mayor?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 45% 17% 59% 34% 44% 46% 33% 66% 52% Disapprove 46 80 34 52 48 44 60 26 40 DK/NA 9 3 8 14 8 10 7 8 8 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Approve 48% 43% 49% 47% 28% 47% 48% 46% 39% Disapprove 44 46 43 43 67 46 45 46 52 DK/NA 8 11 8 11 5 7 7 8 10

17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Carmen Farina is handling her job as New York City Schools Chancellor?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 36% 22% 43% 30% 38% 35% 32% 43% 44% Disapprove 30 43 27 28 26 32 27 28 32 DK/NA 34 36 30 43 36 33 41 29 25 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Approve 39% 41% 32% 33% 30% 35% 38% 33% 39% Disapprove 27 28 26 36 35 27 31 33 29 DK/NA 33 31 42 32 35 37 31 34 32

18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Letitia James is handling her job as Public Advocate?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 45% 23% 54% 39% 48% 43% 36% 72% 41% Disapprove 17 31 12 20 18 16 17 10 19 DK/NA 38 46 35 41 34 41 46 18 40 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Approve 52% 49% 40% 39% 46% 39% 51% 47% 45% Disapprove 21 13 17 19 21 21 14 18 17 DK/NA 26 38 44 42 33 41 35 36 38

19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Melissa Mark-Viverito is handling her job as City Council Speaker?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 36% 24% 44% 27% 35% 37% 28% 46% 54% Disapprove 19 36 13 23 22 17 18 11 21 DK/NA 45 40 43 50 43 46 54 43 25 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Approve 42% 37% 39% 31% 29% 43% 38% 30% 32% Disapprove 19 17 15 23 24 19 17 25 16 DK/NA 38 47 45 46 47 38 45 45 52

20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Stringer is handling his job as City Comptroller?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 53% 48% 58% 50% 58% 50% 55% 58% 59% Disapprove 16 22 14 18 15 17 12 14 13 DK/NA 31 29 28 32 28 33 33 28 27 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Approve 47% 52% 61% 52% 55% 36% 55% 59% 64% Disapprove 17 19 10 19 13 23 20 14 9 DK/NA 36 30 30 29 32 41 24 27 27

21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 67% 49% 76% 63% 64% 70% 65% 75% 75% Disapprove 26 45 18 32 30 24 31 19 20 DK/NA 6 6 5 5 6 6 5 6 5 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Approve 68% 62% 72% 68% 69% 63% 68% 69% 73% Disapprove 22 33 22 25 29 30 29 27 21 DK/NA 9 5 7 7 2 7 3 5 7

22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the New York City Council is handling its job?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 43% 26% 51% 37% 44% 42% 39% 52% 48% Disapprove 33 46 27 40 34 32 31 30 32 DK/NA 24 28 22 23 22 26 29 19 20 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Approve 42% 42% 46% 42% 37% 50% 46% 37% 41% Disapprove 35 32 27 37 42 27 38 37 31 DK/NA 23 26 27 21 21 23 16 26 27

23. Do you feel that Bill de Blasio deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Deserves 42% 13% 52% 38% 42% 42% 27% 63% 51% No/Does not 48 77 38 51 51 45 62 28 42 DK/NA 10 10 9 11 7 13 11 9 7 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes/Deserves 44% 40% 45% 45% 27% 40% 46% 44% 37% No/Does not 47 47 48 45 63 50 46 48 52 DK/NA 9 13 8 10 10 11 8 8 11

24. Do you think that the New York City Council is a positive force which improves New York City, or not?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Positive force 50% 39% 59% 40% 54% 48% 55% 51% 54% No 32 43 22 43 32 32 25 34 33 DK/NA 18 18 18 17 15 20 20 15 13 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes/Positive force 39% 54% 57% 50% 37% 53% 51% 48% 51% No 41 29 24 33 46 32 35 33 30 DK/NA 19 17 20 17 18 15 14 19 19

26. Would you say that Bill de Blasio - has strong leadership qualities or not?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 45% 29% 54% 38% 41% 48% 31% 66% 50% No 51 69 42 58 54 48 66 32 44 DK/NA 4 3 4 4 5 4 3 2 6 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes 49% 47% 42% 47% 28% 55% 40% 45% 45% No 44 49 54 48 70 42 57 52 52 DK/NA 6 4 4 5 2 2 4 3 3

27. Would you say that Bill de Blasio - understands the problems of people like you or not?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 53% 20% 65% 45% 52% 54% 40% 72% 56% No 42 75 30 48 45 39 55 25 39 DK/NA 6 5 5 7 4 7 5 3 5 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes 48% 54% 61% 53% 29% 51% 59% 53% 48% No 46 41 34 40 67 44 37 41 47 DK/NA 7 5 5 7 4 5 4 5 5

28. Would you say that Bill de Blasio - is honest and trustworthy or not?