SPC AC 271942 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0142 PM CST Wed Feb 27 2019 Valid 272000Z - 281200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized severe storms are not expected through early Thursday. ...Discussion... No appreciable change was made to the prior outlook. ..Smith.. 02/27/2019 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1022 AM CST Wed Feb 27 2019/ ...LA to FL... A low-amplitude shortwave trough will continue to move east over the northeast Gulf Coast and across the south Atlantic Coast by mid-evening. This minor impulse is preceded by a decaying MCS that is moving east along a quasi-stationary front over the northeast Gulf and extends across central FL. A modest combination of buoyancy and vertical shear inland/across the extreme eastern Gulf suggest the MCS is unlikely to greatly intensify this afternoon. A couple strong wind gusts from microbursts are possible with remnants of outflow from the MCS, as well as with storms that develop near the eastern FL coast in association with the afternoon sea breeze. Upstream, a weak warm advection regime has become reestablished across the Lower MS Valley beneath predominantly zonal mid-level flow. Per the 12Z Lake Charles sounding, an isolated strong storm with small hail could occur in LA today. However, vertical shear is marginal for supercell structures, which suggests that the large hail threat is too low to warrant a severe area highlight. NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z